Audit Report for CITY OF LOUISVILLE BALLOT ISSUE 2A

Proportion of the total number of votes for this contest that were cast within this county: 100.0%

See additional statistical information below...

Batch Seq Threshhold Random Priority Type Batches Ballots Contest Ballots NO Over Under YES
Totals 4826 1 808 5959
000001 0.005369 AB p058_mb_002 None 11 7 0 0 4
000002 0.000489 EV p005_EV_001 None 1 0 0 0 1
000003 0.013128 AB p034_ev_003 None 27 14 0 1 12
000004 0.003420 AB p065_mb_005 None 7 2 0 2 3
000005 0.013128 AB p088_mb_006 None 27 11 0 3 13
000006 0.004395 AB p089_mb_007 None 9 5 0 1 3
000007 0.018426 AB p090_mb_008 None 38 19 0 2 17
000008 0.051949 AB p092_mb_010 None 109 54 1 3 51
000009 0.009741 AB p094_mb_011 None 20 8 0 1 11
000010 0.010225 AB p095_mb_012 None 21 14 0 1 6
000011 0.013610 AB p096_mb_013 None 28 11 0 2 15
000012 0.006342 AB p097_mb_014 None 13 8 0 0 5
000013 0.011194 AB p098_mb_015 None 23 9 0 6 8
000014 0.002444 EV p034_ev_003 None 5 2 0 1 2
000015 0.029414 AB p057_mb_016 None 61 34 0 3 24
000016 0.013128 AB p066_mb_018 None 27 9 0 0 18
000017 0.005369 AB p068_mb_019 None 11 5 0 0 6
000018 0.011677 AB p076_mb_020 None 24 11 0 1 12
000019 0.002932 AB p077_mb_021 None 6 3 0 0 3
000020 0.033206 AB p078_mb_022 None 69 28 0 0 41
000021 0.034152 AB p079_mb_023 None 71 29 0 2 40
000022 0.030363 EV p006_mb_017 None 63 33 0 2 28
000023 0.017465 EV p007_mb_025 None 36 10 0 3 23
000024 0.007800 EV p052_ev_026 None 16 6 0 1 9
000025 0.010710 AB p080_mb_024 None 22 8 0 3 11
000026 0.015058 AB p054_ev_028 None 31 14 0 2 15
000027 0.001467 EV p053_ev_027 None 3 1 0 0 2
000028 0.007800 EV p009_ev_030 None 16 6 0 1 9
000029 0.011677 EV p039_ev_031 None 24 5 0 3 16
000030 0.001956 EV p041_ev_032 None 4 2 0 0 2
000031 0.019387 AB p055_mb_029 None 40 13 0 0 27
000032 0.022740 AB p043_mb_034 None 47 26 0 0 21
000033 0.005856 AB p044_mb_035 None 12 4 0 1 7
000034 0.023219 AB p045_mb_036 None 48 23 0 2 23
000035 0.023219 AB p046_mb_037 None 48 22 0 4 22
000036 0.014575 AB p047_mb_038 None 30 16 0 0 14
000037 0.011194 AB p048_mb_039 None 23 5 0 0 18
000038 0.018907 AB p049_mb_040 None 39 19 0 3 17
000039 0.008771 EV p042_ev_033 None 18 9 0 0 9
000040 0.025606 AB p050_mb_041 None 53 26 0 1 26
000041 0.043092 EV p051_ev_042 None 90 33 0 9 48
000042 0.037927 AB p082_mb_043 None 79 34 0 5 40
000043 0.017946 AB p085_mb_046 None 37 16 0 1 20
000044 0.011194 AB p086_mb_047 None 23 7 0 3 13
000045 0.037927 AB p015_mb_048 None 79 37 0 1 41
000046 0.029889 AB p035_mb_049 None 62 32 0 2 28
000047 0.024652 AB p036_mb_050 None 51 30 0 1 20
000048 0.012161 AB p037_mb_051 None 25 12 0 3 10
000049 0.008771 EV p084_mb_045 None 18 9 0 1 8
000050 0.055654 AB p038_mb_052 None 117 50 0 2 65
000051 0.009741 AB p060_mb_054 None 20 9 0 1 10
000052 0.039338 AB p062_mb_055 None 82 35 0 1 46
000053 0.009741 AB p063_mb_056 None 20 7 0 2 11
000054 0.012161 AB p070_mb_057 None 25 10 0 4 11
000055 0.014093 AB p033_mb_058 None 29 13 0 0 16
000056 0.043560 AB p071_mb_059 None 91 50 0 2 39
000057 0.008286 AB p072_mb_060 None 17 8 0 1 8
000058 0.011677 AB p073_mb_061 None 24 9 0 2 13
000059 0.022740 AB p074_mb_062 None 47 22 0 1 24
000060 0.009256 AB p025_mb_063 None 19 10 0 1 8
000061 0.006829 EV p016_mb_053 None 14 5 0 0 9
000062 0.002444 EV p099_ev_065 None 5 2 0 0 3
000063 0.006829 EV p111_ev_066 None 14 4 0 2 8
000064 0.009741 EV p112_ev_067 None 20 5 0 4 11
000065 0.033206 EV p067_ev_068 None 69 23 0 2 44
000066 0.004395 EV p100_ev_069 None 9 4 0 1 4
000067 0.011194 EV p101_ev_070 None 23 8 0 0 15
000068 0.008286 EV p102_ev_071 None 17 8 0 1 8
000069 0.009256 EV p103_ev_072 None 19 8 0 0 11
000070 0.008771 EV p104_ev_073 None 18 6 0 3 9
000071 0.000978 EV p105_ev_074 None 2 1 0 1 0
000072 0.000978 EV p106_ev_075 None 2 1 0 0 1
000073 0.007314 EV p081_ev_076 None 15 2 0 5 8
000074 0.004882 AB p059_mb_064 None 10 4 0 0 6
000075 0.016984 AB p107_ev_078 None 35 19 0 3 13
000076 0.019387 AB p108_ev_079 None 40 24 0 5 11
000077 0.042624 AB p109_mb_080 None 89 49 0 4 36
000078 0.011194 AB p075_mb_081 None 23 12 0 0 11
000079 0.018907 AB p123_mb_082 None 39 12 0 0 27
000080 0.014575 AB p124_mb_083 None 30 15 0 2 13
000081 0.001467 EV p121_ev_077 None 3 1 0 1 1
000082 0.006829 AB p125_mb_084 None 14 6 0 1 7
000083 0.019387 AB p056_mb_086 None 40 18 0 3 19
000084 0.009741 AB p118_mb_087 None 20 7 0 0 13
000085 0.001956 EV p122_ev_085 None 4 2 0 0 2
000086 0.029889 EV p120_ev_089 None 62 26 0 4 32
000087 0.008771 EV p150_ev_090 None 18 10 0 0 8
000088 0.005856 AB p117_mb_088 None 12 4 0 0 8
000089 0.012644 AB p040_mb_092 None 26 12 0 1 13
000090 0.010225 AB p115_mb_093 None 21 8 0 2 11
000091 0.034625 EV p087_ev_091 None 72 24 0 9 39
000092 0.015540 AB p114_mb_094 None 32 14 0 2 16
000093 0.022740 AB p064_mb_096 None 47 15 0 3 29
000094 0.035097 AB p127_mb_097 None 73 32 0 1 40
000095 0.000978 EV p131_mb_095 None 2 0 0 1 1
000096 0.012644 AB p128_mb_098 None 26 11 0 1 14
000097 0.004395 AB p130_mb_100 None 9 3 0 2 4
000098 0.004882 AB p161_mb_101 None 10 6 0 0 4
000099 0.014575 AB p132_mb_102 None 30 7 0 1 22
000100 0.002444 EV p129_ev_099 None 5 1 0 1 3
000101 0.008286 EV p149_ev_104 None 17 8 0 1 8
000102 0.002932 EV p164_ev_105 None 6 1 0 0 5
000103 0.035097 AB p162_mb_103 None 73 31 0 4 38
000104 0.015058 AB p163_mb_107 None 31 19 0 2 10
000105 0.014093 AB p169_mb_108 None 29 12 0 3 14
000106 0.001956 AB p113_mb_109 None 4 0 0 1 3
000107 0.009256 AB p168_mb_110 None 19 8 0 0 11
000108 0.017465 AB p141_mb_111 None 36 14 0 7 15
000109 0.010710 AB p119_mb_112 None 22 9 0 1 12
000110 0.055192 EV p165_ev_106 None 116 55 0 7 54
000111 0.019387 AB p148_mb_113 None 40 18 0 3 19
000112 0.000978 AB p143_mb_115 None 2 1 0 1 0
000119 0.002932 AB p146_mb_116 None 6 3 0 1 2
000120 0.008771 AB p116_mb_124 None 18 12 0 1 5
000121 0.025129 AB p145_mb_125 None 52 12 0 3 37
000123 0.017465 AB p147_mb_126 None 36 16 0 2 18
000124 0.004882 AB p110_mb_128 None 10 6 0 1 3
000125 0.036984 EV p166_ev_114 None 77 32 0 3 42
000118 0.064853 ED p134_ed_122 None 137 68 0 14 55
000128 0.016503 AB p151_mb_129 None 34 9 0 3 22
000129 0.005856 AB p157_mb_133 None 12 6 0 0 6
000130 0.060265 ED p154_ed_132 None 127 52 0 14 61
000131 0.011677 AB p156_mb_134 None 24 10 0 2 12
000132 0.075773 ED p159_ed_135 None 161 60 0 18 83
000133 0.002444 AB p207_mb_136 None 5 3 0 2 0
000140 0.008771 AB p167_mb_139 None 18 6 0 1 11
000141 0.005856 AB p188_mb_145 None 12 5 0 0 7
000135 0.000978 ED p158_mb_137 None 2 1 0 0 1
000145 0.006342 AB p189_mb_146 None 13 3 0 3 7
000147 0.005856 AB p206_mb_150 None 12 3 0 3 6
000148 0.024174 EV p153_ev_131 None 50 21 0 6 23
000149 0.027512 AB p174_mb_152 None 57 26 0 4 27
000150 0.003908 AB p172_mb_154 None 8 4 0 0 4
000151 0.009256 AB p171_mb_155 None 19 7 0 1 11
000152 0.020346 EV p173_ev_153 None 42 14 0 3 25
000153 0.010225 AB p210_mb_156 None 21 6 0 0 15
000154 0.008286 AB p136_mb_158 None 17 5 0 2 10
000155 0.015058 AB p177_mb_159 None 31 12 0 1 18
000156 0.011194 AB p144_mb_160 None 23 8 0 2 13
000157 0.010225 AB p139_mb_161 None 21 10 0 2 9
000158 0.036041 AB p200_mb_162 None 75 38 0 1 36
000159 0.010710 AB p222_mb_163 None 22 6 0 4 12
000160 0.013610 AB p223_mb_164 None 28 13 0 2 13
000161 0.038868 AB p224_mb_165 None 81 28 0 8 45
000162 0.034152 AB p225_mb_166 None 71 32 0 2 37
000163 0.009256 AB p226_mb_167 None 19 6 0 2 11
000171 0.012644 AB p208_mb_168 None 26 11 0 1 14
000172 0.030838 AB p199_mb_177 None 64 25 0 1 38
000173 0.033206 AB p228_mb_178 None 69 27 0 7 35
000174 0.020346 AB p229_mb_179 None 42 15 0 2 25
000175 0.009741 AB p230_mb_180 None 20 9 0 0 11
000176 0.016984 AB p205_mb_181 None 35 20 0 2 13
000177 0.003420 AB p215_mb_182 None 7 2 0 4 1
000146 0.045431 ED p204_ed_149 None 95 47 0 11 37
000180 0.065310 AB p214_mb_183 None 138 50 0 14 74
000181 0.018907 AB p211_mb_186 None 39 16 0 3 20
000182 0.048230 ED p212_ed_185 None 101 39 0 11 51
000188 0.001956 ED p192_ed_193 None 4 0 0 3 1
000195 0.057501 AB p182_mb_187 None 121 51 0 5 65
000196 0.029414 EV p209_ev_157 None 61 19 0 6 36
000197 0.005856 EV p236_ev_202 None 12 3 0 3 6
000198 0.027512 AB p236_ev_202 None 57 26 0 0 31
000191 0.026559 ED p176_ed_196 None 55 18 0 5 32
000200 0.035569 AB p221_mb_204 None 74 20 0 5 49
000202 0.000978 AB p216_mb_206 None 2 0 0 0 2
000203 0.000978 AB p244_ev_208 None 2 1 0 1 0
000204 0.029889 AB p250_mb_209 None 62 23 0 7 32
000205 0.005856 EV p190_ev_203 None 12 4 0 0 8
000206 0.002444 AB p245_ev_210 None 5 2 0 0 3
000208 0.035569 AB p247_mb_212 None 74 32 0 1 41
000209 0.053803 AB p237_mb_214 None 113 45 0 6 62
000210 0.012161 AB p248_mb_215 None 25 6 0 2 17
000211 0.005856 EV p246_ev_211 None 12 2 0 6 4
000212 0.025129 AB p258_mb_216 None 52 27 0 3 22
000213 0.014575 AB p256_mb_218 None 30 13 0 2 15
000214 0.001956 EV p257_ev_217 None 4 1 0 0 3
000215 0.008286 AB p251_mb_219 None 17 4 0 5 8
000216 0.000978 AB p253_mb_221 None 2 1 0 0 1
000217 0.075773 AB p227_mb_222 None 161 56 0 10 95
000218 0.006342 AB p261_mb_223 None 13 7 0 2 4
000219 0.010710 AB p265_mb_224 None 22 12 0 2 8
000220 0.017946 AB p269_mb_225 None 37 13 0 1 23
000221 0.016984 AB p270_mb_226 None 35 16 0 1 18
000222 0.005856 AB p264_mb_227 None 12 1 0 2 9
000223 0.038868 AB p242_mb_228 None 81 30 0 4 47
000224 0.011677 AB p263_mb_229 None 24 12 0 2 10
000225 0.005369 AB p268_mb_230 None 11 9 0 0 2
000226 0.007314 AB p262_mb_231 None 15 6 0 0 9
000227 0.012161 AB p266_mb_232 None 25 15 0 0 10
000228 0.016984 AB p267_mb_233 None 35 14 0 0 21
000229 0.007800 AB p219_mb_234 None 16 8 0 1 7
000230 0.050091 AB p272_mb_235 None 105 56 0 1 48
000231 0.015058 AB p273_mb_236 None 31 8 0 5 18
000232 0.004395 AB p274_mb_237 None 9 4 0 1 4
000233 0.007800 AB p275_mb_238 None 16 4 0 2 10
000234 0.052413 AB p278_mb_239 None 110 51 0 4 55
000235 0.005369 AB p271_mb_240 None 11 6 0 0 5
000236 0.004395 AB p279_mb_241 None 9 2 0 0 7
000237 0.002932 EV p243_ev_220 None 6 1 0 2 3
000238 0.027512 AB p280_mb_242 None 57 23 0 4 30
000239 0.023219 AB p299_mb_244 None 48 20 0 1 27
000240 0.066682 EV p298_ev_243 None 141 59 0 12 70
000241 0.010225 AB p300_mb_245 None 21 6 0 0 15
000242 0.045898 AB p254_mb_247 None 96 40 0 9 47
000243 0.009256 AB p252_mb_248 None 19 8 0 5 6
000244 0.006829 AB p291_mb_249 None 14 9 0 1 4
000201 0.099879 ED p194_ed_205 None 215 116 0 21 78
000246 0.011194 AB p295_mb_250 None 23 8 0 2 13
000247 0.001467 AB p289_mb_252 None 3 1 0 0 2
000248 0.003420 AB p290_mb_253 None 7 4 0 0 3
000249 0.011194 AB p249_mb_254 None 23 11 0 1 11
000250 0.004882 AB p461_mb_255 None 10 6 0 1 3
000251 0.051949 AB p462_mb_256 None 109 50 0 4 55
000252 0.000489 AB p463_mb_257 None 1 0 0 0 1
000253 0.076225 AB p308_mb_259 None 162 70 0 15 77
000254 0.024174 AB p309_mb_260 None 50 26 0 6 18
000255 0.003908 AB p310_mb_261 None 8 1 0 1 6
000256 0.007314 AB p272_mb_262 None 15 8 0 0 7
000257 0.073508 AB p301_mb_263 None 156 52 0 8 96
000258 0.000978 AB p302_mb_264 None 2 0 0 0 2
000259 0.011677 AB p303_mb_265 None 24 9 0 2 13
000260 0.003420 AB p304_mb_266 None 7 0 0 0 7
000261 0.000489 AB p305_mb_267 None 1 1 0 0 0
000263 0.000489 AB p306_mb_268 None 1 0 0 0 1
000264 0.034152 AB p276_mb_270 None 71 26 0 1 44
000265 0.018426 AB p281_mb_271 None 38 15 0 3 20
000266 0.013128 AB p282_mb_272 None 27 9 0 1 17
000267 0.003420 AB p283_mb_273 None 7 3 0 1 3
000268 0.018426 AB p284_mb_274 None 38 12 0 0 26
000269 0.030363 AB p285_mb_275 None 63 20 0 4 39
000270 0.026559 AB p286_mb_276 None 55 19 0 0 36
000271 0.015540 AB p287_mb_277 None 32 10 0 3 19
000272 0.004882 AB p293_mb_278 None 10 6 0 2 2
000273 0.016984 AB p319_mb_279 None 35 17 0 4 14
000262 0.008286 ED p288_ed_251 None 17 8 0 1 8
000275 0.056578 EV p297_mb_246 None 119 40 0 12 67
000276 0.008771 AB p320_mb_280 None 18 4 0 3 11
000278 0.052877 AB p336_mb_284 None 111 44 0 5 62
000279 0.009741 AB p337_mb_285 None 20 8 0 2 10
000280 0.042155 AB p338_mb_286 None 88 28 0 10 50
000281 0.000489 EV p292_ev_282 None 1 0 0 0 1
000282 0.030838 AB p464_mb_287 None 64 31 0 3 30
000283 0.030363 AB p311_mb_289 None 63 29 0 1 33
000284 0.015540 AB p313_mb_290 None 32 18 0 1 13
000285 0.013128 AB p314_mb_291 None 27 12 0 1 14
000286 0.044964 ED p318_ed_281 None 94 31 0 10 53
000288 0.087906 ED p321_ed_294 None 188 83 0 26 79
000289 0.006829 AB p315_mb_292 None 14 5 0 1 8
000290 0.016503 AB p323_mb_296 None 34 11 0 1 22
000291 0.003420 AB p324_mb_297 None 7 2 0 0 5
000292 0.033206 AB p325_mb_298 None 69 36 0 1 32
000293 0.013610 AB p326_mb_299 None 28 9 0 1 18
000294 0.000489 AB p327_mb_300 None 1 0 0 0 1
000295 0.014093 AB p249_mb_301 None 29 13 0 1 15
000296 0.014093 AB p328_mb_302 None 29 11 0 4 14
000297 0.020346 AB p329_mb_303 None 42 18 0 4 20
000298 0.035569 AB p330_mb_304 None 74 31 0 2 41
000299 0.015058 AB p332_mb_305 None 31 15 0 3 13
000300 0.050091 AB p331_mb_306 None 105 30 0 6 69
000301 0.033679 AB p333_mb_307 None 70 30 0 4 36
000302 0.009741 AB p360_mb_308 None 20 10 0 1 9
000303 0.006829 AB p359_mb_309 None 14 5 0 1 8
000304 0.002932 AB p358_mb_310 None 6 3 0 0 3
000305 0.017946 AB p357_mb_311 None 37 14 0 4 19
000306 0.001956 EV p296_ev_288 None 4 0 0 0 4
000307 0.027987 EV p255_ev_313 None 58 16 0 6 36
000309 0.048696 AB p369_mb_312 None 102 47 0 5 50
000310 0.007314 AB p367_mb_316 None 15 7 0 2 6
000311 0.008286 AB p368_mb_317 None 17 4 0 1 12
000312 0.015058 AB p355_mb_318 None 31 18 0 4 9
000313 0.002932 AB p356_mb_319 None 6 3 0 1 2
000314 0.007800 AB p366_mb_320 None 16 8 0 1 7
000315 0.014093 AB p354_mb_321 None 29 13 0 1 15
000316 0.030363 AB p353_mb_322 None 63 28 0 4 31
000317 0.017946 AB p365_mb_323 None 37 14 0 0 23
000318 0.009741 AB p364_mb_324 None 20 13 0 2 5
000319 0.030838 AB p352_mb_325 None 64 26 0 0 38
000320 0.007314 AB p341_mb_326 None 15 3 0 7 5
000321 0.011677 AB p342_mb_327 None 24 8 0 4 12
000322 0.006829 AB p343_mb_328 None 14 5 0 1 8
000323 0.027512 AB p344_mb_329 None 57 16 0 2 39
000324 0.045898 AB p345_mb_330 None 96 42 0 13 41
000325 0.017946 AB p346_mb_331 None 37 12 0 4 21
000326 0.000978 AB p361_mb_332 None 2 1 0 0 1
000327 0.044028 AB p362_mb_333 None 92 40 0 5 47
000328 0.017465 AB p363_mb_334 None 36 20 0 2 14
000329 0.051949 AB p371_mb_335 None 109 40 0 3 66
000331 0.002932 AB p372_mb_336 None 6 3 0 0 3
000308 0.073508 ED p322_ed_295 None 156 62 0 22 72
000330 0.002932 EV p370_ev_314 None 6 2 0 0 4
000333 0.000978 EV j258_ev_099 None 2 1 0 1 0
000334 0.051485 EV j259_ev_100 None 108 43 0 7 58
000335 0.006829 EV j260_ev_101 None 14 7 0 0 7
000336 0.010710 EV j262_ev_102 None 22 8 0 0 14
000359 0.013128 ED j296_ed_029 None 27 13 0 3 11
000360 0.003420 ED j287_ed_030 None 7 6 0 0 1
000367 0.001467 ED j297_ed_037 None 3 2 0 1 0
000368 0.006342 ED j306_ed_038 None 13 4 0 2 7
000372 0.009741 ED j301_ed_042 None 20 11 0 1 8
000373 0.018426 ED j302_ed_043 None 38 18 0 7 13
000374 0.016503 ED j304_ed_044 None 34 8 0 5 21
000375 0.007800 ED j303_ed_045 None 16 4 0 2 10
000376 0.009256 ED j307_ed_046 None 19 10 0 5 4
000422 0.003420 ED j305_ed_095 None 7 2 0 1 4
000522 0.001956 EV j261_ev_103 None 4 2 0 1 1

Audit statistics

The "Number of audit units to audit" is based on the NEGEXP method, which is very efficient and requires selecting larger audit units with higher probability than smaller ones. The numbers given here are based on a confidence level of 75%. I.e. they are designed so the audit will either 1) find a discrepancy and call for an escalation or full hand recount, or 2) reduce the risk of confirming an incorrect outcome to (100 - 75)%, even if the tally system has been manipulated. A maximum "within-precinct-miscount" of 20% is assumed. See On Auditing Elections When Precincts Have Different Sizes, by Javed A. Aslam, Raluca A. Popa and Ronald L. Rivest


Contest: CITY OF LOUISVILLE BALLOT ISSUE 2A

Number of precincts: 305
Total number of votes cast:  11594
Average number of votes/precinct: 38.0131147541
Median number of votes/precinct: 24
Maximum number of votes/precinct: 215
Minimum number of votes/precinct: 1
Ratio of max/min: 215.0
margin =  9.77229601518 percent, 1133.0 votes
s =  0.2  (maximum within-precinct-miscount)
alpha =  0.25  (confidence is 1 - alpha:  0.75 )

Rule of Thumb says:
    5.6743854626 precincts.
    expected workload =  418.144262295 votes counted.

APR says:
    b = 74.5137571157 precincts needed to hold corruption
    u =  5 precincts to audit
    expected workload =  190.06557377 votes
    confidence level to find one of b =  0.756180073339
    bmin = 21
    confidence level to find one of bmin =  0.301721379713

SAFE says:
    bmin = 21
    Number of precincts to audit = u = 19
    Confidence level achieved =  0.753080988079
    expected workload =  722.249180328

Negexp says:
    w = 817.286740664
    largest probability =  0.0998791319855
    smallest probability =  0.000489304562534
    expected number of precincts audited =  5.57312726581
    expected workload =  410.243971934 votes counted

PPEBWR says:
    t =  5
    largest total probability =  0.0893447263885
    smallest total probability =  0.000431183160195
    expected number of precincts audited = 4.93659455381
    expected workload =  364.212813715 votes counted.
    max difference from negexp =  0.010534405597