Audit Selection Report for City of Louisville City Council Person Ward I (4 Years)
Proportion of the total number of votes for this contest that were cast within this county: 100.0%
- Overall margin of victory: %
- Margin of victory in this county: 24.833%
- Number of audit units in this county: 282
- Number of audit units to audit (NEGEXP, 75% confidence, WPM < 20%): 2.2
See additional statistical information below...
The audit units are reported for selection in priority order, based on the thresholds below, and the "Sum of Square Roots" pseudorandom number generator using the random seed value 569985350872703 combined with the Batch sequence numbers.
Select the top 2 audit units.
Batch Seq | Threshold | Random | Priority | Type | Batches | Ballots | Contest Ballots | Bob Muckle | Michael Menaker | Over | Under |
Totals | 1075 | 630 | 0 | 87 | |||||||
000124 | 0.033085 | 0.026577 | 1.244867 | AB | p124_mb_443 | 150 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
000086 | 0.004972 | 0.005833 | 0.852440 | AB | p086_mb_508 | 150 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000104 | 0.042676 | 0.077508 | 0.550604 | AB | p104_mb_560 | 150 | 35 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
000305 | 0.040288 | 0.079358 | 0.507665 | AB | p305_mb_402 | 150 | 33 | 16 | 14 | 0 | 3 |
000099 | 0.007449 | 0.019178 | 0.388397 | AB | p099_mb_602 | 150 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
000183 | 0.027042 | 0.105846 | 0.255483 | AB | p183_mb_332 | 150 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
000205 | 0.002489 | 0.009750 | 0.255281 | AB | p205_mb_390 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000384 | 0.022180 | 0.098713 | 0.224695 | AB | p384_mb_254 | 150 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
000161 | 0.007449 | 0.036013 | 0.206838 | AB | p161_mb_654 | 150 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
000096 | 0.030672 | 0.157446 | 0.194812 | AB | p096_mb_541 | 150 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
000286 | 0.031880 | 0.183649 | 0.173589 | AB | p286_mb_458 | 150 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
000387 | 0.030672 | 0.182840 | 0.167756 | AB | p387_mb_265 | 150 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
000375 | 0.027042 | 0.162392 | 0.166523 | AB | p375_mb_266 | 150 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000228 | 0.023398 | 0.143331 | 0.163245 | AB | p228_mb_311 | 149 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
000353 | 0.034289 | 0.217114 | 0.157933 | AB | p353_mb_363 | 150 | 28 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 3 |
000388 | 0.002489 | 0.016204 | 0.153614 | AB | p388_mb_258 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000344 | 0.025829 | 0.184519 | 0.139979 | AB | p344_mb_405 | 149 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
000341 | 0.003731 | 0.027437 | 0.135994 | AB | p341_mb_380 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000103 | 0.004972 | 0.037571 | 0.132336 | AB | p103_mb_510 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000080 | 0.039091 | 0.310755 | 0.125793 | AB | p080_mb_319 | 149 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
000386 | 0.030672 | 0.253257 | 0.121112 | AB | p386_mb_423 | 150 | 25 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
000209 | 0.054532 | 0.495385 | 0.110079 | AB | p209_mb_343 | 150 | 45 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
000076 | 0.002489 | 0.024942 | 0.099795 | AB | p076_mb_471 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000343 | 0.039091 | 0.408833 | 0.095616 | AB | p343_mb_378 | 150 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
000278 | 0.006211 | 0.072063 | 0.086191 | AB | p278_mb_623 | 150 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
000284 | 0.002489 | 0.029105 | 0.085523 | AB | p284_mb_460 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000037 | 0.033085 | 0.405219 | 0.081648 | AB | p037_mb_558 | 150 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
000114 | 0.007449 | 0.093261 | 0.079870 | AB | p114_mb_695 | 150 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000352 | 0.040288 | 0.544630 | 0.073972 | AB | p352_mb_362 | 150 | 33 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
000077 | 0.001245 | 0.017281 | 0.072064 | AB | p077_mb_322 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000309 | 0.039091 | 0.564993 | 0.069188 | AB | p309_mb_352 | 150 | 32 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
000007 | 0.006211 | 0.095769 | 0.064856 | AB | p007_mb_569 | 150 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000031 | 0.016069 | 0.268800 | 0.059780 | AB | p031_mb_551 | 150 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000146 | 0.011152 | 0.187097 | 0.059607 | AB | p146_mb_630 | 150 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
000354 | 0.040288 | 0.688828 | 0.058487 | AB | p354_mb_381 | 150 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
000421 | 0.009919 | 0.181724 | 0.054585 | AB | p421_mb_294 | 145 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000025 | 0.001245 | 0.025277 | 0.049267 | AB | p025_mb_562 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000351 | 0.030672 | 0.665638 | 0.046080 | AB | p351_mb_308 | 150 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
000403 | 0.030672 | 0.666627 | 0.046011 | AB | p403_mb_248 | 150 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
000012 | 0.008685 | 0.201894 | 0.043017 | AB | p012_mb_575 | 140 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000101 | 0.004972 | 0.119014 | 0.041777 | AB | p101_mb_513 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000259 | 0.006211 | 0.149733 | 0.041482 | AB | p259_mb_652 | 150 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000245 | 0.025829 | 0.626263 | 0.041243 | AB | p245_mb_656 | 150 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
000070 | 0.020961 | 0.515898 | 0.040630 | AB | p070_mb_340 | 150 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
000090 | 0.006211 | 0.153296 | 0.040517 | AB | p090_mb_504 | 150 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000238 | 0.006211 | 0.156762 | 0.039622 | AB | p238_mb_477 | 150 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000241 | 0.037893 | 0.957830 | 0.039561 | AB | p241_mb_474 | 150 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
000260 | 0.019740 | 0.523813 | 0.037686 | AB | p260_mb_577 | 150 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
000272 | 0.001245 | 0.033268 | 0.037433 | AB | p272_mb_698 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000391 | 0.035492 | 0.954984 | 0.037165 | AB | p391_mb_424 | 150 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
000381 | 0.003731 | 0.101903 | 0.036617 | AB | p381_mb_245 | 139 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000059 | 0.035492 | 0.971916 | 0.036518 | AB | p059_mb_699 | 150 | 29 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 2 |
000198 | 0.022180 | 0.629281 | 0.035247 | AB | p198_mb_690 | 150 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
000358 | 0.023398 | 0.673974 | 0.034716 | AB | p358_mb_431 | 150 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
000314 | 0.029464 | 0.857678 | 0.034353 | AB | p314_mb_347 | 300 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
000334 | 0.028254 | 0.826910 | 0.034168 | AB | p334_mb_440 | 149 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
000042 | 0.003731 | 0.112267 | 0.033236 | AB | p042_mb_631 | 150 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000401 | 0.024614 | 0.748070 | 0.032904 | AB | p401_mb_277 | 150 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
000116 | 0.028254 | 0.873707 | 0.032338 | AB | p116_mb_448 | 150 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
000067 | 0.016069 | 0.502240 | 0.031994 | AB | p067_mb_692 | 150 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
000249 | 0.006211 | 0.194148 | 0.031992 | AB | p249_mb_601 | 150 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000226 | 0.002489 | 0.078678 | 0.031637 | AB | p226_mb_359 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000121 | 0.017294 | 0.552668 | 0.031292 | AB | p121_mb_370 | 150 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000162 | 0.002489 | 0.079993 | 0.031117 | AB | p162_mb_655 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000032 | 0.003731 | 0.121861 | 0.030620 | AB | p032_mb_552 | 150 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000006 | 0.007449 | 0.245237 | 0.030374 | AB | p006_mb_566 | 150 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000221 | 0.007449 | 0.247477 | 0.030099 | AB | p221_mb_407 | 150 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
000362 | 0.024614 | 0.844411 | 0.029150 | AB | p362_mb_426 | 150 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
000123 | 0.025829 | 0.901584 | 0.028648 | AB | p123_mb_368 | 150 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
000169 | 0.003731 | 0.131133 | 0.028455 | AB | p169_mb_642 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000258 | 0.016069 | 0.604366 | 0.026588 | AB | p258_mb_567 | 150 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
000050 | 0.008685 | 0.326694 | 0.026584 | AB | p050_mb_579 | 150 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000374 | 0.023398 | 0.932444 | 0.025093 | AB | p374_mb_260 | 150 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000155 | 0.004972 | 0.200833 | 0.024757 | AB | p155_mb_587 | 150 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000022 | 0.014842 | 0.609175 | 0.024364 | AB | p022_mb_565 | 150 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
000356 | 0.001245 | 0.051616 | 0.024127 | AB | p356_mb_414 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000065 | 0.018518 | 0.788842 | 0.023475 | AB | p065_mb_685 | 142 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
000192 | 0.014842 | 0.654837 | 0.022665 | AB | p192_mb_607 | 150 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000014 | 0.013614 | 0.610254 | 0.022308 | AB | p014_mb_593 | 150 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000016 | 0.008685 | 0.390700 | 0.022229 | AB | p016_mb_591 | 150 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000231 | 0.009919 | 0.446616 | 0.022210 | AB | p231_mb_495 | 150 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000199 | 0.011152 | 0.502185 | 0.022208 | AB | p199_mb_618 | 149 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
000115 | 0.013614 | 0.618068 | 0.022026 | AB | p115_mb_447 | 150 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000138 | 0.009919 | 0.461952 | 0.021473 | AB | p138_mb_455 | 150 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
000292 | 0.007449 | 0.349647 | 0.021304 | AB | p292_mb_500 | 150 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000232 | 0.006211 | 0.299678 | 0.020726 | AB | p232_mb_421 | 150 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000191 | 0.003731 | 0.190567 | 0.019580 | AB | p191_mb_608 | 150 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000097 | 0.003731 | 0.192777 | 0.019356 | AB | p097_mb_542 | 150 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000264 | 0.007449 | 0.389061 | 0.019145 | AB | p264_mb_597 | 150 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000147 | 0.003731 | 0.195198 | 0.019116 | AB | p147_mb_517 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000015 | 0.002489 | 0.135061 | 0.018429 | AB | p015_mb_632 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000280 | 0.008685 | 0.488572 | 0.017776 | AB | p280_mb_361 | 150 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000328 | 0.003731 | 0.212939 | 0.017523 | AB | p328_mb_398 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000152 | 0.013614 | 0.780213 | 0.017449 | AB | p152_mb_584 | 150 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000107 | 0.009919 | 0.578776 | 0.017138 | AB | p107_mb_515 | 150 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
000098 | 0.002489 | 0.146274 | 0.017017 | AB | p098_mb_522 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000045 | 0.007449 | 0.448446 | 0.016610 | AB | p045_mb_550 | 150 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000385 | 0.003731 | 0.225788 | 0.016526 | AB | p385_mb_255 | 150 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000423 | 0.008685 | 0.530640 | 0.016367 | AB | p423_mb_287 | 153 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
000227 | 0.006211 | 0.381856 | 0.016266 | AB | p227_mb_355 | 150 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000040 | 0.002489 | 0.154405 | 0.016121 | AB | p040_mb_660 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000120 | 0.003731 | 0.232017 | 0.016082 | AB | p120_mb_371 | 150 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000024 | 0.008685 | 0.543570 | 0.015977 | AB | p024_mb_563 | 150 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
000117 | 0.014842 | 0.972441 | 0.015263 | AB | p117_mb_450 | 150 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
000394 | 0.001245 | 0.083584 | 0.014899 | AB | p394_mb_262 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000237 | 0.008685 | 0.583036 | 0.014896 | AB | p237_mb_478 | 149 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
000174 | 0.002489 | 0.168026 | 0.014814 | AB | p174_mb_639 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000088 | 0.011152 | 0.768779 | 0.014507 | AB | p088_mb_506 | 150 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
000307 | 0.004972 | 0.343193 | 0.014488 | AB | p307_mb_404 | 149 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000203 | 0.009919 | 0.732381 | 0.013544 | AB | p203_mb_313 | 131 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000122 | 0.001245 | 0.092182 | 0.013510 | AB | p122_mb_369 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000323 | 0.008685 | 0.666002 | 0.013040 | AB | p323_mb_316 | 149 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000200 | 0.011152 | 0.873257 | 0.012771 | AB | p200_mb_614 | 150 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000036 | 0.006211 | 0.490256 | 0.012669 | AB | p036_mb_557 | 150 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
000251 | 0.007449 | 0.596030 | 0.012497 | AB | p251_mb_599 | 150 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000276 | 0.002489 | 0.202759 | 0.012276 | AB | p276_mb_616 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000273 | 0.006211 | 0.510497 | 0.012167 | AB | p273_mb_659 | 150 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000269 | 0.009919 | 0.825943 | 0.012010 | AB | p269_mb_663 | 150 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
000215 | 0.003731 | 0.312878 | 0.011926 | AB | p215_mb_306 | 104 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000304 | 0.009919 | 0.841926 | 0.011782 | AB | p304_mb_403 | 300 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000029 | 0.002489 | 0.213338 | 0.011667 | AB | p029_mb_534 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000058 | 0.004972 | 0.426550 | 0.011656 | AB | p058_mb_697 | 148 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000359 | 0.002489 | 0.219341 | 0.011348 | AB | p359_mb_303 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000248 | 0.007449 | 0.658306 | 0.011315 | AB | p248_mb_613 | 150 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000035 | 0.002489 | 0.220019 | 0.011313 | AB | p035_mb_556 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000219 | 0.008685 | 0.767777 | 0.011312 | AB | p219_mb_408 | 150 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000033 | 0.006211 | 0.552539 | 0.011241 | AB | p033_mb_554 | 150 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000172 | 0.003731 | 0.338459 | 0.011025 | AB | p172_mb_644 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000151 | 0.009919 | 0.901221 | 0.011007 | AB | p151_mb_583 | 122 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000244 | 0.001245 | 0.114911 | 0.010837 | AB | p244_mb_543 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000060 | 0.003731 | 0.345997 | 0.010784 | AB | p060_mb_672 | 150 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000173 | 0.008685 | 0.815687 | 0.010647 | AB | p173_mb_645 | 150 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
000004 | 0.006211 | 0.594501 | 0.010448 | AB | p004_mb_545 | 150 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000071 | 0.002489 | 0.250749 | 0.009927 | AB | p071_mb_339 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000168 | 0.001245 | 0.127572 | 0.009762 | AB | p168_mb_684 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000315 | 0.003731 | 0.382486 | 0.009756 | AB | p315_mb_434 | 150 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000266 | 0.003731 | 0.395883 | 0.009425 | AB | p266_mb_634 | 150 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000220 | 0.008685 | 0.926827 | 0.009370 | AB | p220_mb_412 | 150 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000165 | 0.002489 | 0.271849 | 0.009156 | AB | p165_mb_581 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000013 | 0.006211 | 0.684589 | 0.009073 | AB | p013_mb_574 | 150 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000112 | 0.006211 | 0.684901 | 0.009069 | AB | p112_mb_693 | 150 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000061 | 0.004972 | 0.553006 | 0.008991 | AB | p061_mb_671 | 150 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000378 | 0.001245 | 0.141671 | 0.008790 | AB | p378_mb_269 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000139 | 0.006211 | 0.707577 | 0.008778 | AB | p139_mb_512 | 150 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000271 | 0.003731 | 0.428566 | 0.008707 | AB | p271_mb_669 | 150 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000253 | 0.001245 | 0.147506 | 0.008443 | AB | p253_mb_625 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000062 | 0.004972 | 0.596986 | 0.008329 | AB | p062_mb_688 | 149 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000102 | 0.006211 | 0.753237 | 0.008246 | AB | p102_mb_511 | 150 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
000254 | 0.004972 | 0.619220 | 0.008030 | AB | p254_mb_624 | 138 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000083 | 0.004972 | 0.622839 | 0.007983 | AB | p083_mb_521 | 150 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
000300 | 0.007449 | 0.942865 | 0.007900 | AB | p300_mb_346 | 149 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000321 | 0.002489 | 0.317085 | 0.007850 | AB | p321_mb_314 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000009 | 0.002489 | 0.317568 | 0.007838 | AB | p009_mb_571 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000194 | 0.002489 | 0.319167 | 0.007799 | AB | p194_mb_604 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000196 | 0.004972 | 0.640453 | 0.007763 | AB | p196_mb_619 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000063 | 0.003731 | 0.481822 | 0.007744 | AB | p063_mb_687 | 150 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000043 | 0.001245 | 0.161408 | 0.007715 | AB | p043_mb_658 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000017 | 0.003731 | 0.489434 | 0.007624 | AB | p017_mb_594 | 149 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000240 | 0.002489 | 0.332221 | 0.007492 | AB | p240_mb_475 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000160 | 0.006211 | 0.829004 | 0.007492 | AB | p160_mb_518 | 149 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000236 | 0.004972 | 0.668072 | 0.007442 | AB | p236_mb_479 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
000092 | 0.001245 | 0.171830 | 0.007247 | AB | p092_mb_527 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000135 | 0.004972 | 0.703026 | 0.007072 | AB | p135_mb_492 | 150 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000057 | 0.004972 | 0.705503 | 0.007047 | AB | p057_mb_662 | 150 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000091 | 0.004972 | 0.707560 | 0.007027 | AB | p091_mb_481 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000047 | 0.004972 | 0.712191 | 0.006981 | AB | p047_mb_547 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000026 | 0.006211 | 0.900861 | 0.006895 | AB | p026_mb_561 | 150 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
000020 | 0.004972 | 0.749010 | 0.006638 | AB | p020_mb_580 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000157 | 0.001245 | 0.188510 | 0.006606 | AB | p157_mb_589 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000234 | 0.004972 | 0.757302 | 0.006565 | AB | p234_mb_493 | 150 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000350 | 0.003731 | 0.574119 | 0.006499 | AB | p350_mb_394 | 150 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000010 | 0.004972 | 0.774266 | 0.006422 | AB | p010_mb_572 | 150 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000277 | 0.001245 | 0.195097 | 0.006383 | AB | p277_mb_653 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000299 | 0.001245 | 0.196995 | 0.006322 | AB | p299_mb_377 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000235 | 0.002489 | 0.397836 | 0.006257 | AB | p235_mb_480 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000175 | 0.002489 | 0.397975 | 0.006254 | AB | p175_mb_638 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000150 | 0.004972 | 0.809701 | 0.006141 | AB | p150_mb_582 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000140 | 0.003731 | 0.637412 | 0.005854 | AB | p140_mb_454 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000295 | 0.001245 | 0.216825 | 0.005743 | AB | p295_mb_520 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000066 | 0.001245 | 0.218066 | 0.005711 | AB | p066_mb_691 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000397 | 0.002489 | 0.440202 | 0.005654 | AB | p397_mb_251 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000311 | 0.001245 | 0.222051 | 0.005608 | AB | p311_mb_350 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000202 | 0.002489 | 0.448047 | 0.005555 | AB | p202_mb_312 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000255 | 0.004972 | 0.895642 | 0.005551 | AB | p255_mb_626 | 136 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
000338 | 0.001245 | 0.226370 | 0.005501 | AB | p338_mb_384 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000153 | 0.002489 | 0.452696 | 0.005498 | AB | p153_mb_585 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000270 | 0.003731 | 0.693714 | 0.005379 | AB | p270_mb_668 | 149 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000164 | 0.003731 | 0.694251 | 0.005375 | AB | p164_mb_622 | 150 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000366 | 0.002489 | 0.465491 | 0.005347 | AB | p366_mb_386 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000145 | 0.004972 | 0.931453 | 0.005338 | AB | p145_mb_538 | 150 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
000166 | 0.003731 | 0.701073 | 0.005322 | AB | p166_mb_528 | 109 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000404 | 0.003731 | 0.706564 | 0.005281 | AB | p404_mb_247 | 87 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000288 | 0.004972 | 0.946596 | 0.005253 | AB | p288_mb_456 | 150 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000252 | 0.002489 | 0.475023 | 0.005240 | AB | p252_mb_598 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000055 | 0.003731 | 0.717826 | 0.005198 | AB | p055_mb_649 | 150 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000293 | 0.003731 | 0.725376 | 0.005144 | AB | p293_mb_499 | 150 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000265 | 0.004972 | 0.966658 | 0.005144 | AB | p265_mb_617 | 150 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000053 | 0.004972 | 0.969689 | 0.005127 | AB | p053_mb_635 | 149 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
000008 | 0.001245 | 0.246244 | 0.005057 | AB | p008_mb_570 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000308 | 0.002489 | 0.493668 | 0.005042 | AB | p308_mb_353 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000415 | 0.001245 | 0.247124 | 0.005039 | AB | p415_mb_242 | 134 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000177 | 0.002489 | 0.500288 | 0.004975 | AB | p177_mb_636 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000188 | 0.001245 | 0.251786 | 0.004946 | AB | p188_mb_615 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000176 | 0.002489 | 0.507949 | 0.004900 | AB | p176_mb_637 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000110 | 0.001245 | 0.257273 | 0.004841 | AB | p110_mb_466 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000141 | 0.001245 | 0.263020 | 0.004735 | AB | p141_mb_453 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000349 | 0.001245 | 0.263756 | 0.004722 | AB | p349_mb_433 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000324 | 0.003731 | 0.790995 | 0.004717 | AB | p324_mb_397 | 150 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
000333 | 0.003731 | 0.799963 | 0.004664 | AB | p333_mb_336 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000056 | 0.003731 | 0.804191 | 0.004640 | AB | p056_mb_648 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000002 | 0.001245 | 0.270230 | 0.004608 | AB | p002_mb_549 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000201 | 0.003731 | 0.813823 | 0.004585 | AB | p201_mb_469 | 150 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000319 | 0.003731 | 0.837385 | 0.004456 | AB | p319_mb_438 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000132 | 0.002489 | 0.604868 | 0.004115 | AB | p132_mb_487 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000158 | 0.003731 | 0.909556 | 0.004102 | AB | p158_mb_640 | 150 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000087 | 0.003731 | 0.935415 | 0.003989 | AB | p087_mb_507 | 150 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000412 | 0.001245 | 0.313957 | 0.003967 | AB | p412_mb_274 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000190 | 0.002489 | 0.636303 | 0.003912 | AB | p190_mb_609 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000163 | 0.003731 | 0.964829 | 0.003867 | AB | p163_mb_468 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000143 | 0.002489 | 0.644415 | 0.003863 | AB | p143_mb_482 | 149 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000068 | 0.002489 | 0.644565 | 0.003862 | AB | p068_mb_342 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000256 | 0.003731 | 0.982008 | 0.003800 | AB | p256_mb_651 | 150 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000073 | 0.001245 | 0.332680 | 0.003743 | AB | p073_mb_337 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000217 | 0.002489 | 0.667250 | 0.003730 | AB | p217_mb_373 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000181 | 0.001245 | 0.337486 | 0.003690 | AB | p181_mb_409 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000243 | 0.001245 | 0.339225 | 0.003671 | AB | p243_mb_472 | 69 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000129 | 0.002489 | 0.696344 | 0.003575 | AB | p129_mb_310 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000046 | 0.002489 | 0.704090 | 0.003535 | AB | p046_mb_548 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000342 | 0.001245 | 0.359692 | 0.003462 | AB | p342_mb_379 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000422 | 0.002489 | 0.721238 | 0.003451 | AB | p422_mb_288 | 164 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000224 | 0.002489 | 0.721387 | 0.003450 | AB | p224_mb_357 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000414 | 0.002489 | 0.722317 | 0.003446 | AB | p414_mb_273 | 149 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000317 | 0.002489 | 0.736858 | 0.003378 | AB | p317_mb_436 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000336 | 0.002489 | 0.737680 | 0.003374 | AB | p336_mb_442 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000178 | 0.001245 | 0.377253 | 0.003301 | AB | p178_mb_410 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000389 | 0.002489 | 0.754972 | 0.003297 | AB | p389_mb_428 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000182 | 0.002489 | 0.774202 | 0.003215 | AB | p182_mb_354 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000109 | 0.002489 | 0.800575 | 0.003109 | AB | p109_mb_465 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000390 | 0.001245 | 0.400721 | 0.003108 | AB | p390_mb_429 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000340 | 0.001245 | 0.401829 | 0.003099 | AB | p340_mb_400 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000094 | 0.002489 | 0.836160 | 0.002977 | AB | p094_mb_524 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000392 | 0.001245 | 0.419255 | 0.002970 | AB | p392_mb_279 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000208 | 0.001245 | 0.424060 | 0.002937 | AB | p208_mb_387 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000072 | 0.002489 | 0.855452 | 0.002910 | AB | p072_mb_338 | 74 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000213 | 0.002489 | 0.862405 | 0.002886 | AB | p213_mb_376 | 150 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000137 | 0.002489 | 0.888226 | 0.002802 | AB | p137_mb_491 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000369 | 0.002489 | 0.895551 | 0.002779 | AB | p369_mb_367 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000159 | 0.001245 | 0.454923 | 0.002737 | AB | p159_mb_641 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000130 | 0.001245 | 0.456228 | 0.002730 | AB | p130_mb_539 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000044 | 0.002489 | 0.937094 | 0.002656 | AB | p044_mb_590 | 101 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000339 | 0.001245 | 0.471994 | 0.002638 | AB | p339_mb_385 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000148 | 0.002489 | 0.963496 | 0.002583 | AB | p148_mb_463 | 150 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
000136 | 0.002489 | 0.973263 | 0.002557 | AB | p136_mb_446 | 150 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000306 | 0.001245 | 0.492662 | 0.002528 | AB | p306_mb_304 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000371 | 0.001245 | 0.498174 | 0.002500 | AB | p371_mb_365 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000089 | 0.001245 | 0.507547 | 0.002454 | AB | p089_mb_505 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000331 | 0.001245 | 0.516224 | 0.002412 | AB | p331_mb_439 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000195 | 0.001245 | 0.522016 | 0.002386 | AB | p195_mb_603 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000034 | 0.001245 | 0.579485 | 0.002149 | AB | p034_mb_555 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000019 | 0.001245 | 0.589961 | 0.002111 | AB | p019_mb_531 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000360 | 0.001245 | 0.593421 | 0.002099 | AB | p360_mb_302 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000142 | 0.001245 | 0.595274 | 0.002092 | AB | p142_mb_452 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000223 | 0.001245 | 0.596394 | 0.002088 | AB | p223_mb_356 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000417 | 0.001245 | 0.601497 | 0.002070 | AB | p417_mb_283 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000001 | 0.001245 | 0.636007 | 0.001958 | AB | p001_mb_331 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000424 | 0.001245 | 0.655633 | 0.001899 | AB | p424_mb_296 | 73 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000263 | 0.001245 | 0.659639 | 0.001888 | AB | p263_mb_596 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000197 | 0.001245 | 0.675784 | 0.001843 | AB | p197_mb_628 | 151 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000267 | 0.001245 | 0.680057 | 0.001831 | AB | p267_mb_553 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000074 | 0.001245 | 0.685019 | 0.001818 | AB | p074_mb_335 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000127 | 0.001245 | 0.687046 | 0.001813 | AB | p127_mb_317 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000419 | 0.001245 | 0.702024 | 0.001774 | AB | p419_mb_285 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000218 | 0.001245 | 0.705710 | 0.001765 | AB | p218_mb_372 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000233 | 0.001245 | 0.730355 | 0.001705 | AB | p233_mb_494 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000171 | 0.001245 | 0.733756 | 0.001697 | AB | p171_mb_643 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000283 | 0.001245 | 0.800656 | 0.001555 | AB | p283_mb_461 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000303 | 0.001245 | 0.801989 | 0.001553 | AB | p303_mb_327 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000322 | 0.001245 | 0.856599 | 0.001454 | AB | p322_mb_315 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000420 | 0.001245 | 0.861073 | 0.001446 | AB | p420_mb_286 | 105 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
000383 | 0.001245 | 0.870264 | 0.001431 | AB | p383_mb_253 | 150 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
000028 | 0.001245 | 0.965514 | 0.001290 | AB | p028_mb_533 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
000030 | 0.001245 | 0.973221 | 0.001280 | AB | p030_mb_537 | 150 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Audit statistics
The "Number of audit units to audit" is based on the NEGEXP method, which is very efficient and requires selecting larger audit units with higher probability than smaller ones. The numbers given here are based on a confidence level of 75%. I.e. they are designed so the audit will either 1) find a discrepancy and call for an escalation or full hand recount, or 2) reduce the risk of confirming an incorrect outcome to (100 - 75)%, even if the tally system has been manipulated. A maximum "within-precinct-miscount" of 20% is assumed. See On Auditing Elections When Precincts Have Different Sizes, by Javed A. Aslam, Raluca A. Popa and Ronald L. Rivest
Contest: City of Louisville City Council Person Ward I (4 Years) Number of precincts: 282 Total number of votes cast: 1792 Average number of votes/precinct: 6.35460992908 Median number of votes/precinct: 3 Maximum number of votes/precinct: 45 Minimum number of votes/precinct: 1 Ratio of max/min: 45.0 margin = 24.8325892857 percent, 445.0 votes s = 0.2 (maximum within-precinct-miscount) alpha = 0.25 (confidence is 1 - alpha: 0.75 ) Rule of Thumb says: 2.23302426528 precincts. expected workload = 31.7730496454 votes counted. APR says: b = 175.069754464 precincts needed to hold corruption u = 2 precincts to audit expected workload = 12.7092198582 votes confidence level to find one of b = 0.857056268585 bmin = 52 confidence level to find one of bmin = 0.335327225461 SAFE says: bmin = 52 Number of precincts to audit = u = 7 Confidence level achieved = 0.764000171019 expected workload = 44.4822695035 Negexp says: w = 320.999646598 largest probability = 0.0545316143503 smallest probability = 0.00124533122159 expected number of precincts audited = 2.20980166511 expected workload = 37.0789326309 votes counted PPEBWR says: t = 2 largest total probability = 0.0495926214724 smallest total probability = 0.00111576002471 expected number of precincts audited = 1.99058812978 expected workload = 33.4953040298 votes counted. max difference from negexp = 0.00493899287789