Contest List
Number of contests: 71
The auditing selection statistics are based on the Overall Margin % if it has been entered to reflect results from other counties. Otherwise the margin used for the statistics comes from the Margin calculated based on just the ballots reflected in the given report.
Information on two alternative auditing sampling methods is presented: SAFE (in which each audit unit has an equal chance of being picked). and NEGEXP (which is more efficient and requires selecting larger audit units with higher probability than smaller ones). The numbers given here are based on the given confidence level. I.e. they are designed so the audit will either 1) find a discrepancy and call for an escalation or full hand recount, or 2) reduce the risk of confirming an incorrect outcome to e.g. 25% (for a confidence level of 75%), even if the tally system has been manipulated. A maximum "within-precinct-miscount" of 20% is assumed. See On Auditing Elections When Precincts Have Different Sizes, by Javed A. Aslam, Raluca A. Popa and Ronald L. Rivest
Contest Name | Audit Units | Overall Margin % | Margin % | Contest Seq | Threshhold | Random | Priority | Confidence % | Proportion % | Units to audit: NEGEXP | Units to audit: SAFE | Ballots to audit: NEGEXP | Ballots to audit: SAFE |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 33 | 313 | 11.500 | 17.740 | 000013 | 0.08696 | 0.00613 | 14.18671 | 75 | 50 | 2.4 | 7.0 | 150 | 254 |
CITY OF LAFAYETTE BALLOT ISSUE 2A | 312 | 8.235 | 000061 | 0.12144 | 0.02593 | 4.68349 | 75 | 100 | 6.6 | 26.0 | 546 | 1092 | |
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS | 523 | 8.090 | 45.755 | 000001 | 0.12361 | 0.02946 | 4.19527 | 99 | 6 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 686 | 864 |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2C | 395 | 36.495 | 000058 | 0.02740 | 0.00905 | 3.02860 | 75 | 100 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 368 | 293 | |
AMENDMENT 47 | 523 | 11.000 | 19.065 | 000035 | 0.09091 | 0.05773 | 1.57467 | 99 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 508 | 593 |
AMENDMENT 46 | 523 | 1.400 | 18.613 | 000034 | 0.71429 | 0.49867 | 1.43237 | 99 | 6 | 6.5 | 16.7 | 3304 | 5336 |
CITY OF LAFAYETTE BALLOT ISSUE 2B | 312 | 20.179 | 000062 | 0.04956 | 0.03514 | 1.41029 | 75 | 100 | 2.7 | 7.0 | 227 | 294 | |
CITY OF LONGMONT BALLOT QUESTION 2A | 357 | 0.913 | 000063 | 1.09570 | 0.88603 | 1.23665 | 75 | 99 | 52.1 | 177.2 | 10125 | 20124 | |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2D | 395 | 1.955 | 000059 | 0.51143 | 0.51697 | 0.98927 | 75 | 100 | 26.8 | 96.0 | 6395 | 14083 | |
AMENDMENT 54 | 523 | 2.600 | 7.300 | 000042 | 0.38462 | 0.46205 | 0.83242 | 99 | 6 | 3.8 | 9.9 | 1961 | 3155 |
REFERENDUM O | 523 | 5.200 | 14.638 | 000051 | 0.19231 | 0.29243 | 0.65762 | 99 | 6 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 1040 | 1530 |
AMENDMENT 56 | 523 | 9.965 | 000044 | 0.10035 | 0.16892 | 0.59409 | 99 | 6 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 559 | 669 | |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 12 | 354 | 39.600 | 34.656 | 000011 | 0.02525 | 0.04326 | 0.58378 | 75 | 100 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 224 | 103 |
AMENDMENT 49 | 523 | 21.400 | 28.555 | 000037 | 0.04673 | 0.08978 | 0.52047 | 99 | 6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 265 | 249 |
AMENDMENT 57 | 523 | 3.403 | 000045 | 0.29384 | 0.62421 | 0.47074 | 99 | 6 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 1540 | 2352 | |
AMENDMENT 53 | 523 | 13.669 | 000041 | 0.07316 | 0.19192 | 0.38119 | 99 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 411 | 440 | |
REGENT - UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 2 | 475 | 21.880 | 40.945 | 000005 | 0.04570 | 0.12046 | 0.37943 | 75 | 38 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 521 | 521 |
ESTES VALLEY RECREATION AND PARK DIST BALLOT ISSUE 4D | 48 | 7.000 | 4.762 | 000071 | 0.14286 | 0.40941 | 0.34893 | 75 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 |
COUNTY BALLOT ISSUE 1A | 523 | 24.190 | 000052 | 0.04134 | 0.12622 | 0.32751 | 75 | 100 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 1188 | 1275 | |
REPRESENTATIVE TO THE 111TH UNITED STATES CONGRESS - DISTRICT 4 | 363 | 11.750 | 25.472 | 000004 | 0.08511 | 0.27956 | 0.30443 | 75 | 13 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 297 | 461 |
ESTES VALLEY RECREATION AND PARK DIST BALLOT ISSUE 4C | 48 | 5.000 | 7.143 | 000070 | 0.20000 | 0.70296 | 0.28451 | 75 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 |
REFERENDUM L | 523 | 7.600 | 15.312 | 000048 | 0.13158 | 0.49853 | 0.26393 | 99 | 6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 726 | 937 |
REPRESENTATIVE TO THE 111TH UNITED STATES CONGRESS - DISTRICT 2 | 475 | 26.710 | 48.125 | 000003 | 0.03744 | 0.15196 | 0.24638 | 75 | 38 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 429 | 393 |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT ISSUE NO. 201 | 395 | 22.944 | 000054 | 0.04358 | 0.18376 | 0.23717 | 75 | 100 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 583 | 733 | |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2A | 395 | 9.882 | 000056 | 0.10120 | 0.46451 | 0.21786 | 75 | 100 | 5.5 | 15.0 | 1343 | 2200 | |
DISTRICT JUDGE 20th JUDICIAL DISTRICT James C. Klein | 523 | 20.747 | 000030 | 0.04820 | 0.25703 | 0.18752 | 75 | 100 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 1384 | 1594 | |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2B | 395 | 17.118 | 000057 | 0.05842 | 0.32641 | 0.17897 | 75 | 100 | 3.2 | 7.0 | 780 | 1027 | |
CITY OF LOUISVILLE BALLOT ISSUE 2A | 305 | 9.772 | 000064 | 0.10233 | 0.58229 | 0.17574 | 75 | 100 | 5.6 | 19.0 | 410 | 722 | |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2E | 395 | 7.259 | 000060 | 0.13777 | 0.85454 | 0.16122 | 75 | 100 | 7.5 | 22.0 | 1819 | 3227 | |
ST VRAIN VALLEY SCHOOL DISTRICT NO. RE-1J BALLOT ISSUE NO. 3B | 394 | 8.647 | 000067 | 0.11564 | 0.77824 | 0.14860 | 75 | 90 | 5.7 | 18.0 | 1400 | 2496 | |
UNITED STATES SENATOR | 523 | 9.740 | 42.712 | 000002 | 0.10267 | 0.71897 | 0.14280 | 99 | 6 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 574 | 691 |
AMENDMENT 59 | 523 | 9.400 | 20.355 | 000047 | 0.10638 | 0.78115 | 0.13619 | 99 | 6 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 591 | 727 |
COUNTY JUDGE - BOULDER Thomas J.B. Reed | 523 | 35.197 | 000032 | 0.02841 | 0.21503 | 0.13213 | 75 | 100 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 818 | 637 | |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 11 | 362 | 26.700 | 23.149 | 000010 | 0.03745 | 0.29183 | 0.12834 | 75 | 100 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 365 | 358 |
STATE SENATE - DISTRICT 16 | 336 | 17.090 | 33.897 | 000006 | 0.05851 | 0.45628 | 0.12824 | 75 | 30 | 3.2 | 6.0 | 286 | 340 |
TOWN OF NEDERLAND BALLOT ISSUE 2A | 215 | 62.728 | 000065 | 0.01594 | 0.12748 | 0.12505 | 75 | 100 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 28 | 4 | |
AMENDMENT 55 | 523 | 17.847 | 000043 | 0.05603 | 0.45120 | 0.12418 | 99 | 6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 316 | 306 | |
ST VRAIN VALLEY SCHOOL DISTRICT NO. RE-1J BALLOT ISSUE NO. 3A | 394 | 15.958 | 000066 | 0.06266 | 0.52504 | 0.11935 | 75 | 90 | 3.1 | 7.2 | 766 | 999 | |
REFERENDUM N | 523 | 37.400 | 51.239 | 000050 | 0.02674 | 0.24743 | 0.10806 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 152 | 115 |
AMENDMENT 50 | 523 | 17.400 | 4.427 | 000038 | 0.05747 | 0.59141 | 0.09718 | 99 | 6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 324 | 325 |
STATE SENATE - DISTRICT 17 | 406 | 24.810 | 22.354 | 000007 | 0.04031 | 0.44288 | 0.09101 | 75 | 100 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 631 | 714 |
AMENDMENT 48 | 523 | 46.200 | 67.508 | 000036 | 0.02165 | 0.24983 | 0.08664 | 99 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 124 | 57 |
AMENDMENT 58 | 523 | 16.400 | 22.304 | 000046 | 0.06098 | 0.82560 | 0.07386 | 99 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 344 | 344 |
JUSTICE OF THE COLORADO SUPREME COURT Allison H. Eid | 523 | 37.702 | 000020 | 0.02652 | 0.36731 | 0.07221 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 151 | 115 | |
DISTRICT JUDGE 20th JUDICIAL DISTRICT M. Gwyneth Whalen | 523 | 30.790 | 000031 | 0.03248 | 0.45504 | 0.07137 | 75 | 100 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 934 | 956 | |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT ISSUE NO. 202 | 395 | 33.653 | 000055 | 0.02972 | 0.41862 | 0.07098 | 75 | 100 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 399 | 293 | |
MOUNTAIN VIEW FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT BALLOT ISSUE NO. 4A | 328 | 16.401 | 000068 | 0.06097 | 0.89027 | 0.06849 | 75 | 70 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 122 | 166 | |
COURT OF APPEALS Robert D. Hawthorne | 523 | 28.457 | 000024 | 0.03514 | 0.53160 | 0.06610 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 200 | 172 | |
COUNTY COMMISSIONER - DISTRICT 3 | 523 | 31.494 | 000018 | 0.03175 | 0.53421 | 0.05944 | 75 | 100 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 913 | 956 | |
DISTRICT JUDGE 20th JUDICIAL DISTRICT Roxanne Bailin | 523 | 37.575 | 000028 | 0.02661 | 0.45947 | 0.05792 | 75 | 100 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 766 | 637 | |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 10 | 365 | 49.810 | 41.510 | 000009 | 0.02008 | 0.35091 | 0.05721 | 75 | 100 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 179 | 108 |
AMENDMENT 52 | 523 | 28.600 | 33.422 | 000040 | 0.03497 | 0.63070 | 0.05544 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 199 | 172 |
COURT OF APPEALS Gilbert M. Roman | 523 | 28.881 | 000026 | 0.03462 | 0.62804 | 0.05513 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 197 | 172 | |
JUSTICE OF THE COLORADO SUPREME COURT Gregory J. Hobbs Jr. | 523 | 36.219 | 000021 | 0.02761 | 0.51426 | 0.05369 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 157 | 115 | |
COURT OF APPEALS David M. Furman | 523 | 33.931 | 000023 | 0.02947 | 0.54918 | 0.05366 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 168 | 134 | |
AMENDMENT 51 | 523 | 25.200 | 4.478 | 000039 | 0.03968 | 0.76767 | 0.05169 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 225 | 210 |
COUNTY JUDGE - BOULDER John F. Stavely | 523 | 35.513 | 000033 | 0.02816 | 0.55679 | 0.05057 | 75 | 100 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 810 | 637 | |
DISTRICT JUDGE 20th JUDICIAL DISTRICT Maria E. Berkenkotter | 523 | 35.926 | 000029 | 0.02783 | 0.59958 | 0.04642 | 75 | 100 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 801 | 637 | |
COUNTY COMMISSIONER - DISTRICT 2 | 523 | 33.571 | 000017 | 0.02979 | 0.71380 | 0.04173 | 75 | 100 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 857 | 956 | |
REFERENDUM M | 523 | 24.400 | 39.845 | 000049 | 0.04098 | 0.98499 | 0.04161 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 233 | 210 |
COUNTY ASSESSOR | 523 | 63.523 | 000019 | 0.01574 | 0.39493 | 0.03986 | 75 | 100 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 454 | 319 | |
COURT OF APPEALS Diana L. Terry | 523 | 31.349 | 000027 | 0.03190 | 0.81146 | 0.03931 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 182 | 153 | |
COUNTY COMMISSIONER - DISTRICT 1 | 523 | 31.408 | 000016 | 0.03184 | 0.85227 | 0.03736 | 75 | 100 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 916 | 956 | |
COURT OF APPEALS Jerry N. Jones | 523 | 32.762 | 000025 | 0.03052 | 0.87909 | 0.03472 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 174 | 153 | |
COUNTY BALLOT ISSUE 1B | 523 | 40.569 | 000053 | 0.02465 | 0.75477 | 0.03266 | 75 | 100 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 710 | 319 | |
COURT OF APPEALS Steven L. Bernard | 523 | 34.585 | 000022 | 0.02891 | 0.89162 | 0.03243 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 165 | 134 | |
SUNSHINE FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT BALLOT QUESTION 5A | 113 | 41.250 | 000069 | 0.02424 | 0.86420 | 0.02805 | 75 | 100 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 12 | 2 | |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 13 | 362 | 46.440 | 48.939 | 000012 | 0.02153 | 0.87514 | 0.02461 | 75 | 100 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 176 | 100 |
DISTRICT ATTORNEY 20TH JUDICIAL DISTRICT | 523 | 67.348 | 000014 | 0.01485 | 0.61628 | 0.02409 | 75 | 100 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 428 | 319 | |
DISTRICT I REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION DISTRICT DIRECTOR | 397 | 60.086 | 000015 | 0.01664 | 0.85596 | 0.01944 | 75 | 50 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 121 | 80 | |
STATE SENATE - DISTRICT 18 | 415 | 71.448 | 000008 | 0.01400 | 0.88063 | 0.01589 | 75 | 100 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 222 | 181 |