Contest List
Number of contests: 71
The auditing selection statistics are based on the Overall Margin % if it has been entered to reflect results from other counties. Otherwise the margin used for the statistics comes from the Margin calculated based on just the ballots reflected in the given report.
Information on two alternative auditing sampling methods is presented: SAFE (in which each audit unit has an equal chance of being picked). and NEGEXP (which is more efficient and requires selecting larger audit units with higher probability than smaller ones). The numbers given here are based on the given confidence level. I.e. they are designed so the audit will either 1) find a discrepancy and call for an escalation or full hand recount, or 2) reduce the risk of confirming an incorrect outcome to e.g. 25% (for a confidence level of 75%), even if the tally system has been manipulated. A maximum "within-precinct-miscount" of 20% is assumed. See On Auditing Elections When Precincts Have Different Sizes, by Javed A. Aslam, Raluca A. Popa and Ronald L. Rivest
Contest Name | Audit Units | Overall Margin % | Margin % | Contest Seq | Threshhold | Random | Priority | Confidence % | Proportion % | Units to audit: NEGEXP | Units to audit: SAFE | Ballots to audit: NEGEXP | Ballots to audit: SAFE |
CITY OF LONGMONT BALLOT QUESTION 2A | 357 | 0.913 | 000063 | 1.09570 | 0.10321 | 10.61625 | 75 | 99 | 52.1 | 177.2 | 10125 | 20124 | |
AMENDMENT 54 | 523 | 2.600 | 7.300 | 000042 | 0.38462 | 0.06497 | 5.92027 | 99 | 6 | 3.8 | 9.9 | 1961 | 3155 |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2D | 395 | 1.955 | 000059 | 0.51143 | 0.19656 | 2.60188 | 75 | 100 | 26.8 | 96.0 | 6395 | 14083 | |
REFERENDUM M | 523 | 24.400 | 39.845 | 000049 | 0.04098 | 0.04621 | 0.88689 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 233 | 210 |
AMENDMENT 46 | 523 | 1.400 | 18.613 | 000034 | 0.71429 | 0.91852 | 0.77765 | 99 | 6 | 6.5 | 16.7 | 3304 | 5336 |
ST VRAIN VALLEY SCHOOL DISTRICT NO. RE-1J BALLOT ISSUE NO. 3A | 394 | 15.958 | 000066 | 0.06266 | 0.11319 | 0.55362 | 75 | 90 | 3.1 | 7.2 | 766 | 999 | |
JUSTICE OF THE COLORADO SUPREME COURT Gregory J. Hobbs Jr. | 523 | 36.219 | 000021 | 0.02761 | 0.05601 | 0.49291 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 157 | 115 | |
COURT OF APPEALS Steven L. Bernard | 523 | 34.585 | 000022 | 0.02891 | 0.06053 | 0.47772 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 165 | 134 | |
AMENDMENT 56 | 523 | 9.965 | 000044 | 0.10035 | 0.22341 | 0.44918 | 99 | 6 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 559 | 669 | |
CITY OF LAFAYETTE BALLOT ISSUE 2B | 312 | 20.179 | 000062 | 0.04956 | 0.12277 | 0.40365 | 75 | 100 | 2.7 | 7.0 | 227 | 294 | |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT ISSUE NO. 201 | 395 | 22.944 | 000054 | 0.04358 | 0.10986 | 0.39671 | 75 | 100 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 583 | 733 | |
ESTES VALLEY RECREATION AND PARK DIST BALLOT ISSUE 4D | 48 | 4.762 | 000071 | 0.21000 | 0.56316 | 0.37289 | 75 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 | |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 33 | 313 | 11.500 | 17.740 | 000013 | 0.08696 | 0.24143 | 0.36018 | 75 | 50 | 2.4 | 7.0 | 150 | 254 |
REFERENDUM L | 523 | 7.600 | 15.312 | 000048 | 0.13158 | 0.37092 | 0.35474 | 99 | 6 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 726 | 937 |
AMENDMENT 57 | 523 | 3.403 | 000045 | 0.29384 | 0.89325 | 0.32896 | 99 | 6 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 1540 | 2352 | |
STATE SENATE - DISTRICT 16 | 336 | 17.090 | 33.897 | 000006 | 0.05851 | 0.18991 | 0.30811 | 75 | 30 | 3.2 | 6.0 | 286 | 340 |
AMENDMENT 50 | 523 | 17.400 | 4.427 | 000038 | 0.05747 | 0.18788 | 0.30590 | 99 | 6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 324 | 325 |
REFERENDUM O | 523 | 5.200 | 14.638 | 000051 | 0.19231 | 0.71469 | 0.26908 | 99 | 6 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 1040 | 1530 |
ST VRAIN VALLEY SCHOOL DISTRICT NO. RE-1J BALLOT ISSUE NO. 3B | 394 | 8.647 | 000067 | 0.11564 | 0.48452 | 0.23868 | 75 | 90 | 5.7 | 18.0 | 1400 | 2496 | |
AMENDMENT 59 | 523 | 9.400 | 20.355 | 000047 | 0.10638 | 0.45878 | 0.23188 | 99 | 6 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 591 | 727 |
UNITED STATES SENATOR | 523 | 9.740 | 42.712 | 000002 | 0.10267 | 0.47422 | 0.21650 | 99 | 6 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 574 | 691 |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2E | 395 | 7.259 | 000060 | 0.13777 | 0.67351 | 0.20455 | 75 | 100 | 7.5 | 22.0 | 1819 | 3227 | |
AMENDMENT 58 | 523 | 16.400 | 22.304 | 000046 | 0.06098 | 0.30222 | 0.20176 | 99 | 6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 344 | 344 |
AMENDMENT 55 | 523 | 17.847 | 000043 | 0.05603 | 0.28380 | 0.19744 | 99 | 6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 316 | 306 | |
ESTES VALLEY RECREATION AND PARK DIST BALLOT ISSUE 4C | 48 | 7.143 | 000070 | 0.14000 | 0.74842 | 0.18706 | 75 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | 1 | |
DISTRICT JUDGE 20th JUDICIAL DISTRICT James C. Klein | 523 | 20.747 | 000030 | 0.04820 | 0.27599 | 0.17464 | 75 | 100 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 1384 | 1594 | |
DISTRICT ATTORNEY 20TH JUDICIAL DISTRICT | 523 | 67.348 | 000014 | 0.01485 | 0.08637 | 0.17191 | 75 | 100 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 428 | 319 | |
PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS | 523 | 8.090 | 45.755 | 000001 | 0.12361 | 0.84421 | 0.14642 | 99 | 6 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 686 | 864 |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2A | 395 | 9.882 | 000056 | 0.10120 | 0.70399 | 0.14375 | 75 | 100 | 5.5 | 15.0 | 1343 | 2200 | |
AMENDMENT 53 | 523 | 13.669 | 000041 | 0.07316 | 0.55691 | 0.13136 | 99 | 6 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 411 | 440 | |
COUNTY COMMISSIONER - DISTRICT 2 | 523 | 33.571 | 000017 | 0.02979 | 0.23116 | 0.12886 | 75 | 100 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 857 | 956 | |
DISTRICT JUDGE 20th JUDICIAL DISTRICT Maria E. Berkenkotter | 523 | 35.926 | 000029 | 0.02783 | 0.22456 | 0.12396 | 75 | 100 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 801 | 637 | |
CITY OF LAFAYETTE BALLOT ISSUE 2A | 312 | 8.235 | 000061 | 0.12144 | 0.98087 | 0.12381 | 75 | 100 | 6.6 | 26.0 | 546 | 1092 | |
AMENDMENT 47 | 523 | 11.000 | 19.065 | 000035 | 0.09091 | 0.79028 | 0.11503 | 99 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 508 | 593 |
AMENDMENT 49 | 523 | 21.400 | 28.555 | 000037 | 0.04673 | 0.40981 | 0.11402 | 99 | 6 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 265 | 249 |
JUSTICE OF THE COLORADO SUPREME COURT Allison H. Eid | 523 | 37.702 | 000020 | 0.02652 | 0.23662 | 0.11210 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 151 | 115 | |
CITY OF LOUISVILLE BALLOT ISSUE 2A | 305 | 9.772 | 000064 | 0.10233 | 0.92600 | 0.11051 | 75 | 100 | 5.6 | 19.0 | 410 | 722 | |
REPRESENTATIVE TO THE 111TH UNITED STATES CONGRESS - DISTRICT 4 | 363 | 11.750 | 25.472 | 000004 | 0.08511 | 0.80610 | 0.10558 | 75 | 13 | 1.4 | 3.9 | 297 | 461 |
REGENT - UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT 2 | 475 | 21.880 | 40.945 | 000005 | 0.04570 | 0.44794 | 0.10203 | 75 | 38 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 521 | 521 |
COURT OF APPEALS David M. Furman | 523 | 33.931 | 000023 | 0.02947 | 0.30482 | 0.09669 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 168 | 134 | |
MOUNTAIN VIEW FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT BALLOT ISSUE NO. 4A | 328 | 16.401 | 000068 | 0.06097 | 0.71209 | 0.08562 | 75 | 70 | 2.3 | 4.9 | 122 | 166 | |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2B | 395 | 17.118 | 000057 | 0.05842 | 0.71641 | 0.08154 | 75 | 100 | 3.2 | 7.0 | 780 | 1027 | |
AMENDMENT 48 | 523 | 46.200 | 67.508 | 000036 | 0.02165 | 0.28216 | 0.07671 | 99 | 6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 124 | 57 |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 12 | 354 | 39.600 | 34.656 | 000011 | 0.02525 | 0.34283 | 0.07366 | 75 | 100 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 224 | 103 |
COUNTY COMMISSIONER - DISTRICT 1 | 523 | 31.408 | 000016 | 0.03184 | 0.44663 | 0.07129 | 75 | 100 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 916 | 956 | |
REPRESENTATIVE TO THE 111TH UNITED STATES CONGRESS - DISTRICT 2 | 475 | 26.710 | 48.125 | 000003 | 0.03744 | 0.54349 | 0.06889 | 75 | 38 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 429 | 393 |
AMENDMENT 51 | 523 | 25.200 | 4.478 | 000039 | 0.03968 | 0.63001 | 0.06299 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 225 | 210 |
STATE SENATE - DISTRICT 17 | 406 | 24.810 | 22.354 | 000007 | 0.04031 | 0.67048 | 0.06012 | 75 | 100 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 631 | 714 |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT ISSUE NO. 202 | 395 | 33.653 | 000055 | 0.02972 | 0.50352 | 0.05902 | 75 | 100 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 399 | 293 | |
COUNTY BALLOT ISSUE 1A | 523 | 24.190 | 000052 | 0.04134 | 0.72122 | 0.05732 | 75 | 100 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 1188 | 1275 | |
COURT OF APPEALS Diana L. Terry | 523 | 31.349 | 000027 | 0.03190 | 0.58500 | 0.05453 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 182 | 153 | |
REFERENDUM N | 523 | 37.400 | 51.239 | 000050 | 0.02674 | 0.49185 | 0.05436 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 152 | 115 |
CITY OF BOULDER BALLOT QUESTION NO. 2C | 395 | 36.495 | 000058 | 0.02740 | 0.54570 | 0.05021 | 75 | 100 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 368 | 293 | |
COUNTY BALLOT ISSUE 1B | 523 | 40.569 | 000053 | 0.02465 | 0.51764 | 0.04762 | 75 | 100 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 710 | 319 | |
AMENDMENT 52 | 523 | 28.600 | 33.422 | 000040 | 0.03497 | 0.74902 | 0.04668 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 199 | 172 |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 11 | 362 | 26.700 | 23.149 | 000010 | 0.03745 | 0.81872 | 0.04575 | 75 | 100 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 365 | 358 |
COURT OF APPEALS Jerry N. Jones | 523 | 32.762 | 000025 | 0.03052 | 0.70301 | 0.04342 | 99 | 6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 174 | 153 | |
COUNTY JUDGE - BOULDER John F. Stavely | 523 | 35.513 | 000033 | 0.02816 | 0.65004 | 0.04332 | 75 | 100 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 810 | 637 | |
COURT OF APPEALS Robert D. Hawthorne | 523 | 28.457 | 000024 | 0.03514 | 0.83771 | 0.04195 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 200 | 172 | |
DISTRICT JUDGE 20th JUDICIAL DISTRICT Roxanne Bailin | 523 | 37.575 | 000028 | 0.02661 | 0.66992 | 0.03973 | 75 | 100 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 766 | 637 | |
DISTRICT JUDGE 20th JUDICIAL DISTRICT M. Gwyneth Whalen | 523 | 30.790 | 000031 | 0.03248 | 0.84910 | 0.03825 | 75 | 100 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 934 | 956 | |
DISTRICT I REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION DISTRICT DIRECTOR | 397 | 60.086 | 000015 | 0.01664 | 0.43952 | 0.03787 | 75 | 50 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 121 | 80 | |
COURT OF APPEALS Gilbert M. Roman | 523 | 28.881 | 000026 | 0.03462 | 0.94019 | 0.03683 | 99 | 6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 197 | 172 | |
COUNTY COMMISSIONER - DISTRICT 3 | 523 | 31.494 | 000018 | 0.03175 | 0.89879 | 0.03533 | 75 | 100 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 913 | 956 | |
SUNSHINE FIRE PROTECTION DISTRICT BALLOT QUESTION 5A | 113 | 41.250 | 000069 | 0.02424 | 0.79904 | 0.03034 | 75 | 100 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 12 | 2 | |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 13 | 362 | 46.440 | 48.939 | 000012 | 0.02153 | 0.73054 | 0.02948 | 75 | 100 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 176 | 100 |
COUNTY JUDGE - BOULDER Thomas J.B. Reed | 523 | 35.197 | 000032 | 0.02841 | 0.96674 | 0.02939 | 75 | 100 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 818 | 637 | |
COUNTY ASSESSOR | 523 | 63.523 | 000019 | 0.01574 | 0.54078 | 0.02911 | 75 | 100 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 454 | 319 | |
TOWN OF NEDERLAND BALLOT ISSUE 2A | 215 | 62.728 | 000065 | 0.01594 | 0.59481 | 0.02680 | 75 | 100 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 28 | 4 | |
STATE REPRESENTATIVE - DISTRICT 10 | 365 | 49.810 | 41.510 | 000009 | 0.02008 | 0.83268 | 0.02411 | 75 | 100 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 179 | 108 |
STATE SENATE - DISTRICT 18 | 415 | 71.448 | 000008 | 0.01400 | 0.96699 | 0.01447 | 75 | 100 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 222 | 181 |